Fermi Paradox Suggests There Are Less Than Ten Alien Civilizations In Our Galaxy

Last week, Carlos Cotta and Álvaro Morales from the University of Malaga in Spain, re-opned the discussion of using advanced math to determine the number of advanced extraterrestrial civilizations in our galaxy.

The Fermi paradox is a concept based on the ideas of Enrico Fermi from the 1950s. Fermi wondered why, if advanced extraterrestrial civilizations exist in the Milky Way galaxy, had their probes or space ships never been positively identified.

The apparent size and age of the universe suggests that many technologically advanced extraterrestrial civilizations ought to exist.

However, this hypothesis seems inconsistent with the lack of observational evidence to support it.

Cotta and Morales published their A Computational Analysis of Galactic Exploration with Space Probes: Implications for the Fermi Paradox, expanding on the concept that advanced extraterrestrial civilizations would send out probes that would reach farther than their standard expansion.

The problem with all these arguments is the definitions being used.

Who says the probes of an advanced extraterrestrial civilizations haven’t been observed?
Would we even know what we are looking for?
We expect an ‘alien’ life form to orbit and probe a planet like we would. We are using our own set of scientific paradigms to predict the actions of an advanced alien civilization.

Do we think of our selves as an advanced civilization? Our mainstream media and science doesn’t even have us traveling to the next closest planet to us in our own solar system yet. Let us not pretend to know how an advanced extraterrestrial civilization would explore a galaxy.

Maybe the Earth and our solar system isn’t even worth checking out.
Why would an advanced extraterrestrial civilization be interested in us? What do we have to offer?

Or maybe advanced extraterrestrial civilizations are here, but not exploring our world in the physical sense we imagine. This leans towards John Keel’s position (and mine for that matter) that UFOs and other anomalies are more of a psychic and dimensional phenomena.

I abandoned the extraterrestrial hypothesis in 1967 when my own field investigations disclosed an astonishing overlap between psychic phenomena and UFOs… The objects and apparitions do not necessarily originate on another planet and may not even exist as permanent constructions of matter. It is more likely that we see what we want to see and interpret such visions according to our contemporary beliefs. – John Keel

We presume to know the mind of an advanced extraterrestrial civilization. We expect them to be like us. We want them to behave they we would behave. This is a huge fault to this argument.