Fermi Paradox Suggests There Are Less Than Ten Alien Civilizations In Our Galaxy

Last week, Carlos Cotta and Álvaro Morales from the University of Malaga in Spain, re-opned the discussion of using advanced math to determine the number of advanced extraterrestrial civilizations in our galaxy.

The Fermi paradox is a concept based on the ideas of Enrico Fermi from the 1950s. Fermi wondered why, if advanced extraterrestrial civilizations exist in the Milky Way galaxy, had their probes or space ships never been positively identified.

The apparent size and age of the universe suggests that many technologically advanced extraterrestrial civilizations ought to exist.

However, this hypothesis seems inconsistent with the lack of observational evidence to support it.

Cotta and Morales published their A Computational Analysis of Galactic Exploration with Space Probes: Implications for the Fermi Paradox, expanding on the concept that advanced extraterrestrial civilizations would send out probes that would reach farther than their standard expansion.

The problem with all these arguments is the definitions being used.

Who says the probes of an advanced extraterrestrial civilizations haven’t been observed?
Would we even know what we are looking for?
We expect an ‘alien’ life form to orbit and probe a planet like we would. We are using our own set of scientific paradigms to predict the actions of an advanced alien civilization.

Do we think of our selves as an advanced civilization? Our mainstream media and science doesn’t even have us traveling to the next closest planet to us in our own solar system yet. Let us not pretend to know how an advanced extraterrestrial civilization would explore a galaxy.

Maybe the Earth and our solar system isn’t even worth checking out.
Why would an advanced extraterrestrial civilization be interested in us? What do we have to offer?

Or maybe advanced extraterrestrial civilizations are here, but not exploring our world in the physical sense we imagine. This leans towards John Keel’s position (and mine for that matter) that UFOs and other anomalies are more of a psychic and dimensional phenomena.

I abandoned the extraterrestrial hypothesis in 1967 when my own field investigations disclosed an astonishing overlap between psychic phenomena and UFOs… The objects and apparitions do not necessarily originate on another planet and may not even exist as permanent constructions of matter. It is more likely that we see what we want to see and interpret such visions according to our contemporary beliefs. – John Keel

We presume to know the mind of an advanced extraterrestrial civilization. We expect them to be like us. We want them to behave they we would behave. This is a huge fault to this argument.

John Keel – Dead At 79

John Keel
John Keel

John Alva Keel, author, journalist, and one of the most influential figures in paranormal phenomenon research since Charles Fort, died on July 3, 2009 at Mt. Sinai Hospital in New York City. Keel was 79 years old.

Keel was most famous for his 1975 book, the The Mothman Prophecies, which was made into a movie in 2002 starring Richard Gere as Keel. His previous work included writing for Flying Saucer Review, Saga magazine, and his 1970 book, UFOs: Operation Trojan Horse where he expanded on his theory that UFOs were of “ultraterrestrial” not “extraterrestrial” origin. This theory made him a controversial ufologists and cryptozoologist. Keel’s views seemed to annoy and anger the UFO and Bigfoot hunters who wanted hard evidence of little green men from space and big hairy men in the woods.

Keel’s book, Strange Creatures from Time and Space, is a must read for anyone interested in fortean phenomenon.

“Ufology is just another name for demonology.” – John Keel

John Keel in his Men In Black Outfit
John Keel in his Men In Black Outfit

Keel cross referenced incredible amounts of sighting and reports of all sorts of fortean phenomenon, finding trends in the most likely time sightings were reported, comparing days of the week, days of the month and month, (Wednesday April 21st being the most likely) and even the most common last name of people who reported such oddities, creating the concept of the ‘name game’.

I attempted to contact Keel in late 2006 with several picture I was in possession of that match his Mothman descriptions. I was told Keel had suffered a heart attack in October of 2006 and was not able to look at the pictures.

Take care Mr. Keel. I can only hope you have found in the next life some answers to all the questions that you left us with.

Say hi to Indrid Cold for me.